Don't forget Kellen Moore and hopefully Dan Persa returns soon and has a great second half of the season.
Chandler Harnish will be in the draft and
should be one of the top five QBs taken. If we're to take NFL teams at their word, he should be #2. He possesses the combination of all the attributes they look for. He's an experienced winner, he has a strong arm, he's accurate, he's acceptably tall (an advantage over Moore), he's an incredibly talented runner, and he plays in a mostly pro-style offense.
Kirk Cousins will also be in the draft and NFL teams have historically been fond of Michigan State players.
Collaros will most likely be a free agent signee, unless he has a monster season (and he's actually looking very good so far).
Before Hoke bolted for Michigan, it appeared that Ryan Lindley would be considered a lock for the top five QBs taken. Very experienced, tall, not mistake-prone, pro-style offense. No clue where his season is going to end up now.
Austin Davis at Southern Miss has had a draft-worthy career. He has a good TD:Int ratio, a strong arm, excellent mobility, and is having a great senior season (with the exception of a strange hiccup at Marshall).
Ryan Mallett was victimized by a massive smear campaign last year (most rumors suggest it was conducted by Gabbert's draft team) and I expect the same thing to happen this year to Stephen Garcia. However, in Garcia's case, I'm not sure you actually have to put much effort into a smear campaign. He actually DOES have serious character concerns. But he's been relatively successful, he's a big body with good athleticism, and he has those 9 years of college experience under his belt (seriously, this guy has been at SCar since tear-away jerseys were popular).
Yes, the black quarterbacks will be artificially inflated in the draft. Griffin is the NFL's "dream" player. He won't go over Luck, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if he went second. I said weeks ago that Wilson might go #1. That was contingent upon Luck having a down year, which I don't think will happen now. But a top three of Luck-Griffin-Wilson seems highly possible.
Geno Smith will likley turn his one year in Holgorsen's offense into a big payday. The NFL loves those West Virginia black quarterbacks, even if they suck once they get to the league.
I have no idea about Relf. If the NFL is indeed trying to transform itself into a "running spread" league, then he would be a top candidate for them. He's not particularly good at anything, but he's very hard to tackle. That wouldn't seem to be enough to put him in the top ten QBs, though.
Surprisingly, the one black quarterback I would consider worth drafting isn't actually getting much attention. Probably because he's not much of a runner. Dominique Davis of East Carolina had a great 2010 season and is on the same path this year. However, he was one of the QBs I featured in my Voodoo Mathematics thread, so I have to concede that he actually piles up statistics against inferior competition.
Overall I think the white QB draft class is better than most people realize (don't forget the FCS QBs). And the black QB draft class is too top heavy, with just a couple of top picks and a bunch of garbage underneath.