jeffcorner
Newbie
- Joined
- Aug 15, 2022
- Messages
- 49
With week 12 in the books, here are the projected stats for 2025 receiving yards;
Really solid bets for 1,000 yards
1. (11 games, 6 remaining) Trey McBride 797 yards, 7 TDs, (72.5 Y/G) on pace for 1,232 yards.
2. (12 games, 5 remaining) Christian McCaffrey 785 yards, 5 TDs, (65.4 Y/G) on pace for 1,112 yards.
3. (11 games, 6 remaining) Travis Kelce 674 yards, 4 TDs, (61.3 Y/G) on pace for 1,042 yards.
4. (11 games, 6 remaining) Tyler Warren 662 yards, 3 TDs, (60.2 Y/G) on pace for 1,023 yards.
5. (11 games, 6 remaining) Alec Pierce 611 yards, 1 TD, (67.9 Y/G) on pace for 1,018 yards. *Pierce has only appeared in 9 of the 11 games the Colts have played.
6. (11 games, 6 remaining) Ladd McConkey 644 yards, 4 TDs, (58.5 Y/G) on pace for 995 yards.
Striking distance a.k.a. very realistic shot at 1,000 yards
1. (11 games, 6 remaining) Brock Bowers 510 yards, 3 TDs, (63.8 Y/G) on pace for 893 yards. *Bowers has only appeared in 8 of the 11 games the Raiders have played.
2. (11 games, 6 remaining) Dalton Kincaid 448 yards, 4 TDs, (56 Y/G) on pace for 784 yards.
3. (11 games, 6 remaining) Sam LaPorta 489 yards, 3 TDs, (54.3 Y/G) on pace for 815 yards.
4. (12 games, 5 remaining) Hunter Henry 537 yards, 5 TDs, (44.8 Y/G) on pace for 761 yards.
5. (11 games, 6 remaining) Dalton Schultz 497 yards, 1 TD, (45.2 Y/G) on pace for 768 yards.
-Please feel free to to correct my math and my categorization, etc.!
-For discussion purposes I think out of the 2nd category, Bowers, Kincaid, and LaPorta have the most realistic shot (particularly Bowers b/c he missed 3 entire games) at reaching 1,000 yards b/c they seem (this is in my estimation only) to be trending upward in their production over the past 4-6 weeks. Hunter Henry is the only wildcard, I think he'll come up short in the 850-915 yard range, his production is boom-or-bust.
-For discussion purposes I think out of the 1st category, McCaffrey & McBride are the only two "locks" (barring injury naturally). Out of everyone on my post, I'm most surprised about Kelce, he just doesn't seem to want to go away. I think it will come down to a 2023 type scenario for him......he had 984 yards and could have played in the final game to almost assuredly get his 1k but he instead chose to rest/not risk injury in week 17 (and would go on to win the SB, so who are we to second-guess him? Lol). IMO, the biggest difference is that the Chiefs already have 5 losses and even if they continue to win out they will still be playing for seeding in week 17 so barring injury he is most likely getting 1,000 yards again which I find remarkable. I worry the most about Ladd McConkey, there seem to be random games where the Chargers offense just seems to shut down entirely. He's their clear #1 (whether they admit it or not), and it looks like Quentin Johnston is starting to taper off effectiveness-wise if you look at the past 6 weeks. Alec Pierce was boom-or-bust last year (and led the league in Y/R!!) and easily would've had 1200 yards if he had gotten the requisite targets and/or had a decent QB. This year he is getting more targets (less TDs), AGAIN leads the league in Y/R and is the top deep-threat in the league this season without question. His consistency is better than last year's boom-or-bust situation which we can attribute to Daniel Jones behind center....BUT is still 3rd in targets on the team AND has missed 2 games entirely......I believe Pierce defies odds and discrimination and breaks 1,000 yards. If you can't tell already he's my new favorite player in the league (maybe tied with CMC, I was a WR so I've almost always had my favorite players be WRs) so I will be pulling for him.
Apologies for the long-winded post, what do you guys think?
Really solid bets for 1,000 yards
1. (11 games, 6 remaining) Trey McBride 797 yards, 7 TDs, (72.5 Y/G) on pace for 1,232 yards.
2. (12 games, 5 remaining) Christian McCaffrey 785 yards, 5 TDs, (65.4 Y/G) on pace for 1,112 yards.
3. (11 games, 6 remaining) Travis Kelce 674 yards, 4 TDs, (61.3 Y/G) on pace for 1,042 yards.
4. (11 games, 6 remaining) Tyler Warren 662 yards, 3 TDs, (60.2 Y/G) on pace for 1,023 yards.
5. (11 games, 6 remaining) Alec Pierce 611 yards, 1 TD, (67.9 Y/G) on pace for 1,018 yards. *Pierce has only appeared in 9 of the 11 games the Colts have played.
6. (11 games, 6 remaining) Ladd McConkey 644 yards, 4 TDs, (58.5 Y/G) on pace for 995 yards.
Striking distance a.k.a. very realistic shot at 1,000 yards
1. (11 games, 6 remaining) Brock Bowers 510 yards, 3 TDs, (63.8 Y/G) on pace for 893 yards. *Bowers has only appeared in 8 of the 11 games the Raiders have played.
2. (11 games, 6 remaining) Dalton Kincaid 448 yards, 4 TDs, (56 Y/G) on pace for 784 yards.
3. (11 games, 6 remaining) Sam LaPorta 489 yards, 3 TDs, (54.3 Y/G) on pace for 815 yards.
4. (12 games, 5 remaining) Hunter Henry 537 yards, 5 TDs, (44.8 Y/G) on pace for 761 yards.
5. (11 games, 6 remaining) Dalton Schultz 497 yards, 1 TD, (45.2 Y/G) on pace for 768 yards.
-Please feel free to to correct my math and my categorization, etc.!
-For discussion purposes I think out of the 2nd category, Bowers, Kincaid, and LaPorta have the most realistic shot (particularly Bowers b/c he missed 3 entire games) at reaching 1,000 yards b/c they seem (this is in my estimation only) to be trending upward in their production over the past 4-6 weeks. Hunter Henry is the only wildcard, I think he'll come up short in the 850-915 yard range, his production is boom-or-bust.
-For discussion purposes I think out of the 1st category, McCaffrey & McBride are the only two "locks" (barring injury naturally). Out of everyone on my post, I'm most surprised about Kelce, he just doesn't seem to want to go away. I think it will come down to a 2023 type scenario for him......he had 984 yards and could have played in the final game to almost assuredly get his 1k but he instead chose to rest/not risk injury in week 17 (and would go on to win the SB, so who are we to second-guess him? Lol). IMO, the biggest difference is that the Chiefs already have 5 losses and even if they continue to win out they will still be playing for seeding in week 17 so barring injury he is most likely getting 1,000 yards again which I find remarkable. I worry the most about Ladd McConkey, there seem to be random games where the Chargers offense just seems to shut down entirely. He's their clear #1 (whether they admit it or not), and it looks like Quentin Johnston is starting to taper off effectiveness-wise if you look at the past 6 weeks. Alec Pierce was boom-or-bust last year (and led the league in Y/R!!) and easily would've had 1200 yards if he had gotten the requisite targets and/or had a decent QB. This year he is getting more targets (less TDs), AGAIN leads the league in Y/R and is the top deep-threat in the league this season without question. His consistency is better than last year's boom-or-bust situation which we can attribute to Daniel Jones behind center....BUT is still 3rd in targets on the team AND has missed 2 games entirely......I believe Pierce defies odds and discrimination and breaks 1,000 yards. If you can't tell already he's my new favorite player in the league (maybe tied with CMC, I was a WR so I've almost always had my favorite players be WRs) so I will be pulling for him.
Apologies for the long-winded post, what do you guys think?
