White 1,000-Yard Receivers of the Past 20 Years
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jeffcorner
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Yeah, I think the only "sure thing" we have is Bowers (on pace for 1,072). Kittle is on pace I believe, for 1,150. Trey Mcbride has a shot b/c he's on pace for 1,022. Ladd McConkey is on pace for 935 yards, so IMO he's the only realistic shot @ 1k for a WR b/c like mentioned previously, Alec Pierce is being criminally underused and is prone to boom-or-bust performances....so it's too unpredictable for him.
Freethinker
Hall of Famer
It's too early to really predict. McConkey is on the upswing and could hit the mark if his targets and yards remains up. Also, don't discount Cooper Kupp if he plays all of the remaining games. He would need to average 78 yards per game to hit the century mark, which he's certainly capable of especially if Nucua is hobbled.
Edit: Did the math with McConkey too. Would need to average 63 yards per game to hit the mark. Also achievable especially if he sprinkles in a big game or 2 of 100+ yards.
Edit II: Pierce would be alot tougher, needing an average of 71 yards per game the rest of the way. Just simply not enough targets for that to be realistic.....
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Snow Plow
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Through week 10…
Bowers 580 yards (986 pace)
Kittle 560
McBride 552
Pierce 516
Kelce 499
McConkey 492
Otton 456
Henry 428
Gesicki 383
Kupp 382
Ertz 381
Kraft 376
LaPorta 366
Ferguson 358
Andrews 357
Kincaid 356
Goedert 336
Kmet 316
Schultz 310
Freiermuth 281
Dissly 272
Up to 21 in top 100. Pearsall and Hockenson coming on strong after coming off of injuries.
Bowers 580 yards (986 pace)
Kittle 560
McBride 552
Pierce 516
Kelce 499
McConkey 492
Otton 456
Henry 428
Gesicki 383
Kupp 382
Ertz 381
Kraft 376
LaPorta 366
Ferguson 358
Andrews 357
Kincaid 356
Goedert 336
Kmet 316
Schultz 310
Freiermuth 281
Dissly 272
Up to 21 in top 100. Pearsall and Hockenson coming on strong after coming off of injuries.
Freethinker
Hall of Famer
So with 7 more weeks of regular season football, its becoming a bit more clear which of our guys have a legit shot at hitting the century mark this year. The season started slow but has taken a positive turn, making me hopeful that 2023 was an outlier. Here's the guys with a realistic shot at the mark:
TE Brock Bowers - 9th leading receiver in the NFL with 706 yards. A lock to make it as long as he stays healthy.
WR Ladd McConkey - putting himself on pace after 2 100+ yard efforts in recent weeks. Needs to average 55 yards per game to hit the mark, which I think he will (with good health).
WR Alec Pierce - Has 590 yards but still has a bye week and receives a much lower volume of targets than other guys on this list. Needs to average 69 yards per game, which is doable but hardly a lock if he's ignored on certain weeks.
TE George Kittle - Was on a good pace before missing this week. Sits at 560, so assuming he returns healthy next week, he'll need to average 63 yards per game.
TE Trey McBride - Has 552 yards so needs to average 64 yards per game. I think he can do it with the volume of targets he gets (12 more than Kittle for example).
TE Travis Kelce - Sits at 507 with 7 to play and gets the volume of targets that makes it conceivable. However, his yards per catch are way down making the 71 yards per game he needs unlikely. Age caught up to him.
WR Cooper Kupp - My darkhorse to make it. Sits at only 488 but gets the targets and big games to do it. Needs 73 yards per game and he's averaging 85 ypg since his return from injury. A healthy Kupp hits the mark.
Last 2 guys on the fringe are TEs Cade Otton and Hunter Henry but would need a 100 yard game in the next week or 2 to be taken seriously. So with that said, my prediction will be 4 this year. Bowers, McConkey, McBride and Kupp. Either Pierce or Kittle could make 5 but that's optimistic. I'd say 2 will be the low mark and 6 the high.
TE Brock Bowers - 9th leading receiver in the NFL with 706 yards. A lock to make it as long as he stays healthy.
WR Ladd McConkey - putting himself on pace after 2 100+ yard efforts in recent weeks. Needs to average 55 yards per game to hit the mark, which I think he will (with good health).
WR Alec Pierce - Has 590 yards but still has a bye week and receives a much lower volume of targets than other guys on this list. Needs to average 69 yards per game, which is doable but hardly a lock if he's ignored on certain weeks.
TE George Kittle - Was on a good pace before missing this week. Sits at 560, so assuming he returns healthy next week, he'll need to average 63 yards per game.
TE Trey McBride - Has 552 yards so needs to average 64 yards per game. I think he can do it with the volume of targets he gets (12 more than Kittle for example).
TE Travis Kelce - Sits at 507 with 7 to play and gets the volume of targets that makes it conceivable. However, his yards per catch are way down making the 71 yards per game he needs unlikely. Age caught up to him.
WR Cooper Kupp - My darkhorse to make it. Sits at only 488 but gets the targets and big games to do it. Needs 73 yards per game and he's averaging 85 ypg since his return from injury. A healthy Kupp hits the mark.
Last 2 guys on the fringe are TEs Cade Otton and Hunter Henry but would need a 100 yard game in the next week or 2 to be taken seriously. So with that said, my prediction will be 4 this year. Bowers, McConkey, McBride and Kupp. Either Pierce or Kittle could make 5 but that's optimistic. I'd say 2 will be the low mark and 6 the high.
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If McConkey goes for over a thousand yards, that brings up the question of when was the last time a White WR accomplished that as a rookie. I'm pretty sure the ironic answer is the venerable Caste Clown announcer Cris Collinsworth, who had 67 receptions for 1,009 yards as a rookie in 1981, 43 long years ago.
Yes indeed Freethinker!
After Cooper Kupp's 106 yard performance (68 yard TD) had to go look and see how many more games the L.A. Rams have to play
SEVEN ....THANKS for doing the Math! LOL!
Next Game vs EAGLES ...Must-See-Stuff Kupp against CB Dejean/ FS Blankenship!!
And still impressive to see the Top 6 of 7 NFL Tight Ends are White....
9th place Brock Bowers (706) is only 22 YARDS shy of WR George Pickens (728)....3rd PLACE!
Receiving Yards in the NFL is down a bit league-wide (except Chase/Jefferson) with the NFL moving to a more mobile basketball on grass College-style QBs.
After Cooper Kupp's 106 yard performance (68 yard TD) had to go look and see how many more games the L.A. Rams have to play
SEVEN ....THANKS for doing the Math! LOL!
Next Game vs EAGLES ...Must-See-Stuff Kupp against CB Dejean/ FS Blankenship!!
And still impressive to see the Top 6 of 7 NFL Tight Ends are White....
9th place Brock Bowers (706) is only 22 YARDS shy of WR George Pickens (728)....3rd PLACE!
Receiving Yards in the NFL is down a bit league-wide (except Chase/Jefferson) with the NFL moving to a more mobile basketball on grass College-style QBs.
Freethinker
Hall of Famer
Update post-Week 13:
TE Brock Bowers - 884 yards (4th in NFL!). Lock if healthy.
WR Ladd McConkey - 815 yards (11th in NFL!). Lock if healthy.
TE Trey McBride - 781 yards (14th in NFL!). Lock if healthy.
TE George Kittle - 649 yards. Blizzard game was a bust. Needs to average 71 yards a game in the final 5.
WR Alec Pierce - 645 yards. Has a bye this week so needs to average 89 yards over the final 4.
TE Travis Kelce - 637 yards. Needs to average 73 yards over the final 5.
WR Cooper Kupp - 565 yards. Bad game yesterday hurts his chances but has the skill and targets to break a few more big games. Needs to average 87 yards per game over final 5.
Hunter Henry is the only other guy worth mentioning but needs to average 100 yards a game so no. Looks now like we'll get 3 White receivers hitting the mark with an outside shot of 1 more coming from Kittle or Kupp. Pretty crazy that we will likely have 2 White rookies hitting the mark. Don mentioned it being 43 years if Ladd hits the mark but when was the last time 2 White rookies achieved this? We'd have to go back to the 70s or 60s most likely....
TE Brock Bowers - 884 yards (4th in NFL!). Lock if healthy.
WR Ladd McConkey - 815 yards (11th in NFL!). Lock if healthy.
TE Trey McBride - 781 yards (14th in NFL!). Lock if healthy.
TE George Kittle - 649 yards. Blizzard game was a bust. Needs to average 71 yards a game in the final 5.
WR Alec Pierce - 645 yards. Has a bye this week so needs to average 89 yards over the final 4.
TE Travis Kelce - 637 yards. Needs to average 73 yards over the final 5.
WR Cooper Kupp - 565 yards. Bad game yesterday hurts his chances but has the skill and targets to break a few more big games. Needs to average 87 yards per game over final 5.
Hunter Henry is the only other guy worth mentioning but needs to average 100 yards a game so no. Looks now like we'll get 3 White receivers hitting the mark with an outside shot of 1 more coming from Kittle or Kupp. Pretty crazy that we will likely have 2 White rookies hitting the mark. Don mentioned it being 43 years if Ladd hits the mark but when was the last time 2 White rookies achieved this? We'd have to go back to the 70s or 60s most likely....
jeffcorner
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Looks like it'll be Brock Bowers (currently @ 933 yards), Trey McBride (currently @ 851 yards), Ladd McConkey (assuming he comes back this week healthy, he's @ 815 yards), and George Kittle (currently @ 800 yards). I believe Travis Kelce will come up short but incredibly close. Alec Pierce I think will end up with around 850-875 which is promising for the future. I think the 1 shot at having 5 guys on the board for 2024 will be Cooper Kupp, he's sitting @ 657 yards but he's averaging 73 yards a game and with 4 games left that puts him @ 949 yards total. He will need to average 85.8 yards a game over the last 4 to hit 1000 yards....which is doable, Out of the 9 games he's played this year so far, 4 of them have 92 yards and above, 1 game was @ 80 yards, and the rest were 60 yards and under. It's very hard to say what will happen b/c while the Rams don't have a great defense and will need to score a lot to stay in the chase for the playoffs, 1 of the 4 remaining opponents is the Jets....and I would think the Rams will just be able to run it down the Jets throats with Kyren Williams. So Kupp will need to have shootouts with the 49ers, Cardinals, and Seahawks....which is entirely possible, if not probable. My .02.