White 1,000-Yard Receivers of the Past 20 Years

With week 12 in the books, here are the projected stats for 2025 receiving yards;

Really solid bets for 1,000 yards

1. (11 games, 6 remaining) Trey McBride 797 yards, 7 TDs, (72.5 Y/G) on pace for 1,232 yards.
2. (12 games, 5 remaining) Christian McCaffrey 785 yards, 5 TDs, (65.4 Y/G) on pace for 1,112 yards.
3. (11 games, 6 remaining) Travis Kelce 674 yards, 4 TDs, (61.3 Y/G) on pace for 1,042 yards.
4. (11 games, 6 remaining) Tyler Warren 662 yards, 3 TDs, (60.2 Y/G) on pace for 1,023 yards.
5. (11 games, 6 remaining) Alec Pierce 611 yards, 1 TD, (67.9 Y/G) on pace for 1,018 yards. *Pierce has only appeared in 9 of the 11 games the Colts have played.
6. (11 games, 6 remaining) Ladd McConkey 644 yards, 4 TDs, (58.5 Y/G) on pace for 995 yards.


Striking distance a.k.a. very realistic shot at 1,000 yards

1. (11 games, 6 remaining) Brock Bowers 510 yards, 3 TDs, (63.8 Y/G) on pace for 893 yards. *Bowers has only appeared in 8 of the 11 games the Raiders have played.
2. (11 games, 6 remaining) Dalton Kincaid 448 yards, 4 TDs, (56 Y/G) on pace for 784 yards.
3. (11 games, 6 remaining) Sam LaPorta 489 yards, 3 TDs, (54.3 Y/G) on pace for 815 yards.
4. (12 games, 5 remaining) Hunter Henry 537 yards, 5 TDs, (44.8 Y/G) on pace for 761 yards.
5. (11 games, 6 remaining) Dalton Schultz 497 yards, 1 TD, (45.2 Y/G) on pace for 768 yards.


-Please feel free to to correct my math and my categorization, etc.!

-For discussion purposes I think out of the 2nd category, Bowers, Kincaid, and LaPorta have the most realistic shot (particularly Bowers b/c he missed 3 entire games) at reaching 1,000 yards b/c they seem (this is in my estimation only) to be trending upward in their production over the past 4-6 weeks. Hunter Henry is the only wildcard, I think he'll come up short in the 850-915 yard range, his production is boom-or-bust.

-For discussion purposes I think out of the 1st category, McCaffrey & McBride are the only two "locks" (barring injury naturally). Out of everyone on my post, I'm most surprised about Kelce, he just doesn't seem to want to go away. I think it will come down to a 2023 type scenario for him......he had 984 yards and could have played in the final game to almost assuredly get his 1k but he instead chose to rest/not risk injury in week 17 (and would go on to win the SB, so who are we to second-guess him? Lol). IMO, the biggest difference is that the Chiefs already have 5 losses and even if they continue to win out they will still be playing for seeding in week 17 so barring injury he is most likely getting 1,000 yards again which I find remarkable. I worry the most about Ladd McConkey, there seem to be random games where the Chargers offense just seems to shut down entirely. He's their clear #1 (whether they admit it or not), and it looks like Quentin Johnston is starting to taper off effectiveness-wise if you look at the past 6 weeks. Alec Pierce was boom-or-bust last year (and led the league in Y/R!!) and easily would've had 1200 yards if he had gotten the requisite targets and/or had a decent QB. This year he is getting more targets (less TDs), AGAIN leads the league in Y/R and is the top deep-threat in the league this season without question. His consistency is better than last year's boom-or-bust situation which we can attribute to Daniel Jones behind center....BUT is still 3rd in targets on the team AND has missed 2 games entirely......I believe Pierce defies odds and discrimination and breaks 1,000 yards. If you can't tell already he's my new favorite player in the league (maybe tied with CMC, I was a WR so I've almost always had my favorite players be WRs) so I will be pulling for him.

Apologies for the long-winded post, what do you guys think?

Good post, lots of effort put into it. The first six all have an excellent chance to get there. I'd really like to see Pierce make it as he's always been underused and can become a free agent after the season. Daniel Jones has thrown to him more than previous QBs but Jones isn't known for throwing the ball down the field a lot. On the other hand there's no good reason Pierce can't line up in the slot sometimes or run more medium routes than he does. He could lead the league in receiving yardage if his talents were properly utilized.

Of the second group, Bowers has the best chance but has an awful QB throwing to him. Everyone in the country other than Plantation Pete knows Geno Smith is no longer a starting caliber quarterback.

LaPorta is on IR and is unlikely to return this season, and while the oft-injured Kincaid should he has too far to go to hit the thousand yard mark. Henry is a dark horse and has a slight chance due to the talent of Drake Maye.

Don Wassall said:

Good post, lots of effort put into it. The first six all have an excellent chance to get there. I'd really like to see Pierce make it as he's always been underused and can become a free agent after the season. Daniel Jones has thrown to him more than previous QBs but Jones isn't known for throwing the ball down the field a lot. On the other hand there's no good reason Pierce can't line up in the slot sometimes or run more medium routes than he does. He could lead the league in receiving yardage if his talents were properly utilized.

Of the second group, Bowers has the best chance but has an awful QB throwing to him. Everyone in the country other than Plantation Pete knows Geno Smith is no longer a starting caliber quarterback.

LaPorta is on IR and is unlikely to return this season, and while the oft-injured Kincaid should he has too far to go to hit the thousand yard mark. Henry is a dark horse and has a slight chance due to the talent of Drake Maye.

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I somehow completely missed the LaPorta thing, I'm going to edit the post accordingly to reflect that!

Week 13 in the books and it's not looking amazing at the moment for some of the guys....:

All but a "lock" to get 1,000 yards;

1. (12 games, 5remaining) Trey McBride 879 yards, 8 TDs, (73.3 Y/G) on pace for 1,246 yards.
2. (13 games, 4 remaining) Christian McCaffrey 806 yards, 5 TDs, (62.0 Y/G) on pace for 1,054 yards.

Solid CHANCE for 1,000 yards;

1. (12 games, 5 remaining) Travis Kelce 719 yards, 5 TDs, (59.9 Y/G) on pace for 1,019 yards.
2. (12 games, 5 remaining) Alec Pierce 689 yards, 2 TDs, (68.9 Y/G) on pace for 1,034 yards. *Pierce has only appeared in 10 of the 12 games the Colts have played.
3. (12 games, 5 remaining) Tyler Warren 684 yards, 4 TDs, (57.0 Y/G) on pace for 969 yards.
4. (12 games, 5 remaining) Ladd McConkey 683 yards, 5 TDs, (56.9 Y/G) on pace for 968 yards.


Striking distance BUT a very long shot at 1,000 yards;

1. (12 games, 5 remaining) Brock Bowers 573 yards, 5 TDs, (63.0 Y/G) on pace for 888 yards. *Bowers has only appeared in 9 of the 12 games the Raiders have played.
2. (13 games, 4 remaining) Hunter Henry 610 yards, 5 TDs, (46.9 Y/G) on pace for 798 yards.


I removed a few guys (Schultz & Kincaid) b/c I just don't see a path to them making it (if Houston starts getting into shootouts all of a sudden, I'll add Schultz back in) to 1,000. Most of the guys didn't have amazing weeks this week but there is some good news (in my estimation) for the rest of the way forward. With Tyler Warren and my "new" ( I think prob since last season honestly) favorite WR Alec Pierce, the Colts are 8-4 and have 5 games remaining. They are tied with Jax for 1st in the AFC South and still have to play them twice, in addition to SEA, San Fran, & Houston again. I see them throwing a lot in 4 out of those 5 games and then the final game against Houston, with their incredible defense, who knows. I really like Pierce's chances at 1,000.....5 of his last 6 games have seen him surpass his current Y/G average, so he's trending in the right direction and Daniel Jones is trusting him more........of course Daniel Jones is now banged up but I anticipate him trying to play through his shoulder pain b/c otherwise the Colts have no shot at the playoffs. Regardless, I do not see them being able to rest starters, etc. in the final 2 weeks or so, too much is on the line. The Chargers are also fighting for a playoff spot and 3 of their 5 remaining games are against the Chiefs, Eagles, and Cowboys so I think the chances will be there for Ladd McConkey to get 1,000 yards again....heck...it would only take 1 game like his playoff game from last year (197 yards) and he'd essentially be a shoe-in after that, BUT......it all depends on how Justin Herbert heals and performs after his surgery yesterday on his non-throwing hand. Kelce continues to be an ageless wonder and as long as he's healthy he's going to be right on the cusp of yet another 1,000 yard season (it'll be his first since 2022....to be fair he had 984 yards in 2023 but sat out at the end of the season to avoid injury for playoff push) and he will not be sitting out any games because the Chiefs are fighting for their playoff lives currently sitting at 6-6. What say you guys?

Appreciate all the work you have done! We need a couple of big receiving days from McConkey and Warren. Really want to see them hit 1K!

Bowers and Henry staying in the hunt for 1k is also encouraging. Quite a takeover at TE! Stinks Tucker Kraft went down. With The way he was playing before he got hurt! Man!

Bucky said:

Appreciate all the work you have done! We need a couple of big receiving days from McConkey and Warren. Really want to see them hit 1K!

Bowers and Henry staying in the hunt for 1k is also encouraging. Quite a takeover at TE! Stinks Tucker Kraft went down. With The way he was playing before he got hurt! Man!

Click to expand...

Yes, Kraft was on pace for 1K. Pearsall too before his injury. He had 300 yards after 4 games. Since coming back, he’s been out of sync with his QBs.