Probably.
I don't spend too much time talking about the ins and outs of GOP vs Dems, because it's nothing but a show. It's as fixed as any WWE wrestling match. Except in this case, the GOP and the Democrats are teammates, tag teaming up against the decent citizens of this country. Unfortunately the decent people have somehow gotten the idea that the Elephant is on their side, and have no idea he's actually in cahoots with the Donkey. It doesn't matter who gets elected in November, or if the GOP takes back both the Senate and the House, or just the House. No matter what happens, whoever's in power in DC is not going to address the fundamental problems America is facing.
But if the GOP wins big, that will be the end of most of the Tea Party nonsense. Where were these people when Bush was bankrupting America with prescription drug plans, No Child Left Behind, and two wars costing us trillions against countries who were no threat to us? If you ask the average Tea Partier, he'll say he's just as opposed to big spending and big government when the GOP does it as when the Democrats do, but it's not true. Or they would've been marching in the streets eight years ago. It's hard not to agree with leftists and liberals that what really angers the Tea Partiers is not the out of control spending, but the fact that a black guy's in charge. And if the GOP wins, most of them will take their signs and go home, and go back to grumbling about how small their Social Security cost of living adjustments are.
I'm only 30, but I've read a lot about recent political history in the US. And it seems to me that about every 15 or so years, after a Democrat takes back the White House after years of having a Republican president, conservatives start talking about revolution, and taking the country back. But then one of two things happens: either a national crisis occurs, which is blamed on "right wing hate"Â, or the GOP wins back the White House, and the revolutionaries pack up their signs and go home.
In the early 1960s, the John Birch Society was growing like wildfire, and "Impeach Earl Warren!"Â billboards were all over America. Then JFK got shot, the assassination was (at first, anyway) blamed on a "climate of right wing hate"Â, and except for a last, disastrous gasp with Barry Goldwater, that was pretty much the end of the right wing revolution.
In 1980, the bumbling Jimmy Carter, inflation, unemployment, interest rates, gas prices, and the Iran hostage crisis combined to bring another right wing uprising to the forefront. John Birch Society membership started picking up again, Spotlight subscriptions were selling like hotcakes, and everyone was talking about the Trilateral Commission, the Bilderbergers, the CFR, David Rockefeller and the plot to subordinate America to a one world government. The "conspiracy theories"Â were so prevalent that Reagan even promised not to appoint any members of the CFR or the Trilateral Commission if he got elected. And we all know what happened. Reagan won, he promptly began filling his staff and administration with CFR and Trilateral members and Israel Firsters, along with running up huge deficits, and the right wing revolution dried up and blew away.
Then, after Reagan/Bush held the White House for the GOP for 12 years, along came Bill Clinton. And lo and behold, the right wing revolution talk began all over again. You had the militia movement. The Freeman's out in Montana. This was before the internet really took off, but thousands of people were buying shortwave radios and listening to people like "Mark from Michigan"Â and William Cooper tell them that this was it, this was the end of liberty in America if we didn't rise up and take our country back. When the GOP capitalized on this right wing sentiment to take back the House in 1994, it took a lot of the wind out of the sails of the right wing revolution crowd. But a few kept the faith. Until, quite conveniently, the Oklahoma City bombing happened. It was blamed on "right wing hate"Â, and that was pretty much all she wrote for "taking the country back."Â
Then, after eight years of Bush/Cheney, Obama took over, and the pattern started all over again. And I don't see any reason to expect it will turn out any differently this time. I don't really see the Tea Partiers as having the stuff that would make them the exception to the rule.
For what it's worth, George Soros is predicting a GOP "avalanche"Â, and it's hard to disagree with him. Especially when you see how stupid Republican voters are. Just look at what happened the other day out in California. California was pretty well destroyed by the Bush/Cheney administration's refusal to do anything about illegal immigration, and its campaign of pressuring banks to make loans to unqualified non-whites. The state is in horrendous shape. But Dick Cheney still got a rousing reception from 10,000 people at the famous Bakersfield Business Conference, which is a huge conservative gathering. Some of the people paid $495 to attend.
Obviously, any "conservative"Â cheering Dick Cheney hasn't learned a darn thing over the last 10 years, and isn't likely to learn much between now and Election Day.
So, yeah, I think we'll probably see a Republican avalanche in November. And then a whole bunch of the Tea Partiers will pack it up and go home, because now there'll be some responsible white folks in DC to keep that radical colored fella in line. Some will keep the faith, until another "terrorist attack"Â is used to demonize those who criticize Obama, or until Palin or some other phony conservative wins in 2012.