I’ve actually given up trying to predict how black quarterbacks will transition from college to the pros. I know that virtually everyone here at CF (including myself), predicted that Newton, Wilson, Watson, Winston, Mahomes, and Jackson would all fail and be out of the league in a few years. Instead, they’ve all turned into pro-bowlers and MVPs putting up all sorts of video game numbers along the way.
Sure, RGIII turned into a bust, and a few other less high-profile QBs like Geno Smiff, Deshone Kizer and Brett Hundley are exactly who we thought they were. And yes, the black quarterbacks seem to age in dog years and the ones who have some success are done by the time they’re 30. Wilson and Mahomes may end up being an exception to that rule.
But would anyone really be surprised anymore if Hurst or Love end up doing well in NFL, even if it ends being for a limited time? That will be enough to keep the black quarterback train going. The NFL teams will just treat them like RBs, get a new one every 5 years or so.