My thoughts ahead of Lomachenko-Salido this Saturday;I'm a huge supporter of Vasyl Lomachenko and I will be rooting for him to win his first title this Saturday. It would be truly spectacular if he pulls it off and manages to win a world title in his 2nd pro fight.
*However in my opinion, it's a very risky move* by Vasyl and his team, and although Vasyl is extremely talented and probably the best amateur boxer of alltime, I don't think it's a good fight to take right now for Vasyl. Had I been managing Vasyl, I would suggest for Vasyl to have at least 10 pro fights before title-challenging.
There are significant differences between amateur and professional boxing, and it can take time for a great amateur to feel comfortable and begin performing his best in the pro's. Consider:
- Wladimir Klitschko is an example of an Olympic Gold Medalist who needed time to adjust to pro boxing, even losing a few early and mid career fights (Purrity, Sanders, Brewster), then learning from those experiences to become the tremendous pro boxer that he is today.
- Gennady Golovkin is another example of an Olympic medalist, who took a good 20 or so "developmental fights", even going the distance in some of them, before title-challenging and becoming the tremendous pro boxer that he is today.
- Andre Ward is another example of an Olympic Gold medalist, who needed about 15 "developmental fights" before title-challenging. In fact, Ward went this distance in many of these fights (often times against no-name level opposition), and was even knocked down or hurt in a few. Although I don't like him, I have to admit, he has developed to become one of the better boxers in the game today.
The point I am making with these examples is that amateur and professional boxing are different and it is necessary to develop a fighter with 10, 15, or even 20 fights before title-challenging.
As good as Wladimir, Gennady, and Andre are today, if they had fought for a world title in their second fight, they all probably would have lost, because at that time in their career they wouldn't have been prepared for it.
That being said, Vasyl Lomachenko has a better amateur record than all aforementioned three boxers, and he has that special something. Vasyl Lomachenko is probably the best amateur boxer we've ever seen and it may be true that he doesn't need to develop any further.
Risky fight for Vasyl and I'd prefer if he had a few more pro fights before taking it. My head says Lomachenko, but my gut says that a Salido upset win is somewhat possible. I just hope Lomachenko is ready to go 12 rounds, because Salido is a very tough dude and if you're not ready to go the 12 he will stop you...
If Vasyl does manage to win the fight, it will be one of the greatest achievements I've seen in boxing in over 15 years. Actually, it would probably stand out to me as the biggest achievement I've ever seen in pro boxing.
I've never seen a boxer win a world championship with less than 5 fights. I think its happened once or twice in boxing history in Japan (roughly 150 years that this sport has existed) but it's extremely rare. Most title-challengers have between 20 to 40 fights under their belt.