http://www.stanforddaily.com/cgi-bin/?p=1035761
<H1>Jaffe: Gerhart should be Heisman frontrunner</H1>
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<H4>By:
Jacob Jaffe</H4>
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<DIV id=ecxentry>Stanford senior running back Toby Gerhart should not be "bursting onto the scene,"Â and he should not be a "dark horse"Â Heisman Trophy candidate.
Toby Gerhart deserves to win the Heisman Trophy. Seriously.
Let's just start with some basic information. Gerhart is second in the nation with 1,217 rushing yards in nine games, for an average of just over 135 yards per game. He is also second in the nation (and first among running backs) in scoring with 16 rushing touchdowns, along with two two-point conversions.
That right there is enough to put him squarely in the Heisman race. But looking deeper, his performance is even more impressive.
Some argue (fairly or unfairly) that the Heisman Trophy is more of a Most Valuable Player award, rather than an award honoring the best player. Well, Gerhart fits the bill for that too.
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(ARNAV MOUDGIL/Staff Photographer)
Gerhart has carried the ball an astounding 233 times in nine games this season (about 26 carries per game), which is easily the most in the country and more than some entire teams. Clearly, he carries the load for Stanford more than any other back does for a program.
Stanford's star tailback unsurprisingly also has an enormous impact on his team's success. When Gerhart receives more than 20 carries, Stanford is 6-1, while the Cardinal is 0-2 when he does not eclipse 20 carries. So the secret to Stanford's success is not much of a secret.
And the defenses against Stanford clearly know this, so one would assume that good defenses find a way of shutting him down. One would be wrong making this assumption. Despite receiving so many carries and being the undeniable focal point of Stanford's offense, Gerhart has averaged at least 4.4 yards per carry in every game so far this season, making him the most consistently dominant runner in the nation. Don't believe me? Find me another runner that averages even 20 carries per game and hasn't had a game under 4 yards per carry.
You can't, because Gerhart is the only one in the Football Bowl Subdivision (Division I-A to most people).
Despite his unbelievable numbers, some stubborn people think that numbers lie and only the eye test can show a player's true value, which is why a Texas Tech quarterback hasn't won the Heisman each of the last five years. Anyone who has watched Gerhart play knows what a bruising workhorse he is and it is fair to say that he breaks tackles that would take down anyone else in the nation. In particular, Gerhart stepped up when his team needed him the most, racking up an absurd 223 yards (a Stanford record) and three touchdowns on 38 carries in Stanford's impressive dismantling of the vaunted Oregon defense on Saturday.
As ESPN.com Pac-10 blogger Ted Miller succinctly put it: "1. Are rushing yards and touchdowns important for a running back? 2. If so, why isn't Gerhart on every Heisman Trophy list?"Â
Well, if you haven't noticed, Gerhart isn't on everyone's lists yet and he's certainly not on the top of many. On ESPN.com, he received only four fifth-place votes out of 15 voters and no one voted him higher than fifth. If Gerhart isn't garnering national respect, who is?
The biggest competition, by far, for Gerhart is Alabama sophomore running back Mark Ingram, who is first on ESPN.com's ballot, receiving 10 of the 15 first place votes. Is Ingram that much better than Gerhart?
Quite simply, no. Ingram averages 127 yards per game to Gerhart's 135 and Gerhart has twice as many touchdowns (16) as Ingram (8). Just think about that, the most important thing a running back can do is to score and Gerhart scores twice as often as Ingram.
Normally, an Ingram supporter would point out that Ingram faces much more difficult competition than Gerhart, because Ingram is in the SEC. This year, though, the SEC has some abysmal defenses and the Pac-10 is actually better in terms of rushing defense, allowing 133 yards per game (122 not counting Washington State), compared to 136 yards per game in the SEC (132 not counting Kentucky).
In particular, Ingram has played against much poorer competition than Gerhart â€" Ingram has not played any team ranked higher than 39th in rush defense and three of his opponents are ranked worse than 100th in rush defense. Gerhart, on the other hand, has played three of the top 15 rush defenses and has played only one opponent worse than 100th (San Jose State).
Every statistic favors Gerhart, so it is tough to see why he should be ranked below Mark Ingram.
The only player with more rushing yards than Gerhart, Fresno State's Ryan Mathews, plays in the WAC, so he has played four of the 13 worst rush defenses in the nation and has not played any of the top 15 rush defenses.
No running back can put up numbers comparable to Toby Gerhart and few players in other positions can compete.
Clemson's C.J. Spiller, despite his explosiveness, is primarily a running back, yet is not even on pace to run for a thousand yards this season.
Media favorites Florida quarterback Tim Tebow and Texas quarterback Colt McCoy have comparable numbers to Andrew Luck, yet no one puts him anywhere near Heisman discussion.
The only player who has numbers as impressive as Gerhart is Houston quarterback Case Keenum, but his performance is oddly reminiscent of Graham Harrell (Texas Tech) and Colt Brennan (Hawai'i). All three light up the scoreboard for wide-open, pass-happy teams with subpar defenses. Like Brennan, Keenum plays for a team in a non-automatic qualifying conference, so the quality of his competition is constantly questioned. Like Harrell, Keenum constantly plays in shootouts that enhance his statistics without impressing voters. In case you didn't notice, neither Harrell nor Brennan won the Heisman and every Heisman winner since 1990 has been from a BCS-conference team.
Quite frankly, no player in college football can match the level of Toby Gerhart's production against his level of competition.
Luckily for Gerhart and anyone who likes watching the best football players play, the workhorse back has three more chances to show what an unstoppable force he is.
Hopefully Heisman voters start taking notice.