For Euro 2008 Northern Ireland beat Spain, took four points from their two matches with both Denmark and Sweden then threw it all away by losing to Latvia and Iceland (before Iceland were good).
Tonight, seemingly right on cue they gave up a nightmare goal after being the better team most of the match. Then a player, Baird, completely lost the plot and got himself sent off. With Hungary's final two games against the Faroe islands and a hapless Greece it was looking like the same old story of snatching defeat at the end. But then Kyle Lafferty (currently Norwich City, though he hasn't played yet, and formerly of Palermo in Serie B) scored an equaliser in time added.
With a better head-to-head than Hungary NI have a good chance to go through. A draw in either of their last two matches would do it.
Scotland lost to Germany and Rep of Ireland won against Georgia. So the Republic, currently two points behind second place Poland, could still go through as well as Northern Ireland. If they're in the same group French police will have some extra preparations ahead of them. However, the Republic's last two matches are against Germany and away to Poland. So Scotland aren't done yet as they should get three points against Gibraltar and could maybe get a point against Poland and come in third. (The top four third place teams also qualify).