While doing a bit more research on the financial side of the NFL (in order
to understand what is really going on), I found another very interesting
article by Forbes magazine on the amount of profit an NFL team makes
each year:
http://www.forbes.com/2007/09/13/dallas-cowboys-stadium-
biz-07nfl_cx_mo_0913nflintro.html
(Sorry about not hyperlinking it--for some reason, if the address is more
than one line long, the Forum Code doesn't work right. I don't know how
to fix that).
The most important point:
The NFL is... the richest sports league in the world (the average team
is worth $957 million, 7% more than last year) as well as the most
profitable (mean operating income in 2006 was $17.8 million on
$204 million in revenue).
Mean operating income is before-tax profit. So the average NFL
team makes a whopping 1.9% before-tax profit. Wow! What a
huge money maker! No wonder everybody wants a piece of the action!
Once you see figures like this, you realize that the only lucrative thing in
the NFL is the overall value of the team, which seems to rise much faster
than its profits. Since the profits from the year to year running of the
club are so low, you would think that NFL franchises owners would cash
out every few years to get at the real profits that are made on team
ownership--franchise value. But for some reason, they do not.
NFL teams do not turm over very frequently at all. One team may be up
for sale every 3 or 4 years. Half of the NFL teams have been owned more
than 20 years. And 14 out of the 32 teams have never been sold since
inception, with the Chicago Bears staying in the Halas/McCaskey family
since they were formed in 1919.
This is a very strange situation for a couple of reasons. The first is that it
would be very easy to make 8-10% on that billion dollars outside of the
NFL, which is 4 to 5 times what an owner is making in the league, or 60
to 80 million dollars a year. That's hell of a lot of money each year.
What could possibly motivate someone to ditch that kind of money--
prestige, the vanity of winning a championship? I highly doubt it. We
already know that playoff teams actually lose money for the owner. Very,
very strange.
The second very odd thing about this is why Forbes magazine would
value the franchises that high to begin with. If a normal return on
investment is 7-8% a year, that means that the value of an NFL franchise
should be 12 to 14 times the before-tax profits of 18 million, or only
210-250 million dollars. Forbes is well aware of how to calculate a
normal rate of return, and how normal prices for an investment are
derived. Why would they inflate the value of an NFL franchise to 4 times
its true value based on profits? Do they know something we don't? Do
they know about some sort of phantom profits that exist, but are not
reported by the teams?
Yes, the existence of phantom profits would explain a lot. It would
explain why owners don't sell a billion dollar investment that only yields
2% instead of cashing in to make a lot more money. It would also explain
why Forbes seemingly throws its normal standards for evaluating an
investment out the window--in reality they aren't doing that at all. Since
owners don't publicly disclose their books, they must be feeding Forbes
information that the rest of us don't get--and more precisely, they are
feeding any prospective bidders for an NFL franchise inside information
as to how much money they make under the table. Of course, these
sources of revenue are not revealed.
But I can make a guess as to what the source of the phantom profits is.
And it won't even require a roll of the dice. Illegal gambling, anyone?Edited by: PitBull
to understand what is really going on), I found another very interesting
article by Forbes magazine on the amount of profit an NFL team makes
each year:
http://www.forbes.com/2007/09/13/dallas-cowboys-stadium-
biz-07nfl_cx_mo_0913nflintro.html
(Sorry about not hyperlinking it--for some reason, if the address is more
than one line long, the Forum Code doesn't work right. I don't know how
to fix that).
The most important point:
The NFL is... the richest sports league in the world (the average team
is worth $957 million, 7% more than last year) as well as the most
profitable (mean operating income in 2006 was $17.8 million on
$204 million in revenue).
Mean operating income is before-tax profit. So the average NFL
team makes a whopping 1.9% before-tax profit. Wow! What a
huge money maker! No wonder everybody wants a piece of the action!
Once you see figures like this, you realize that the only lucrative thing in
the NFL is the overall value of the team, which seems to rise much faster
than its profits. Since the profits from the year to year running of the
club are so low, you would think that NFL franchises owners would cash
out every few years to get at the real profits that are made on team
ownership--franchise value. But for some reason, they do not.
NFL teams do not turm over very frequently at all. One team may be up
for sale every 3 or 4 years. Half of the NFL teams have been owned more
than 20 years. And 14 out of the 32 teams have never been sold since
inception, with the Chicago Bears staying in the Halas/McCaskey family
since they were formed in 1919.
This is a very strange situation for a couple of reasons. The first is that it
would be very easy to make 8-10% on that billion dollars outside of the
NFL, which is 4 to 5 times what an owner is making in the league, or 60
to 80 million dollars a year. That's hell of a lot of money each year.
What could possibly motivate someone to ditch that kind of money--
prestige, the vanity of winning a championship? I highly doubt it. We
already know that playoff teams actually lose money for the owner. Very,
very strange.
The second very odd thing about this is why Forbes magazine would
value the franchises that high to begin with. If a normal return on
investment is 7-8% a year, that means that the value of an NFL franchise
should be 12 to 14 times the before-tax profits of 18 million, or only
210-250 million dollars. Forbes is well aware of how to calculate a
normal rate of return, and how normal prices for an investment are
derived. Why would they inflate the value of an NFL franchise to 4 times
its true value based on profits? Do they know something we don't? Do
they know about some sort of phantom profits that exist, but are not
reported by the teams?
Yes, the existence of phantom profits would explain a lot. It would
explain why owners don't sell a billion dollar investment that only yields
2% instead of cashing in to make a lot more money. It would also explain
why Forbes seemingly throws its normal standards for evaluating an
investment out the window--in reality they aren't doing that at all. Since
owners don't publicly disclose their books, they must be feeding Forbes
information that the rest of us don't get--and more precisely, they are
feeding any prospective bidders for an NFL franchise inside information
as to how much money they make under the table. Of course, these
sources of revenue are not revealed.
But I can make a guess as to what the source of the phantom profits is.
And it won't even require a roll of the dice. Illegal gambling, anyone?Edited by: PitBull