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Its time for "The Holy War" BYU-Utah
http://cfn.scout.com/2/776657.html
MWC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 22 </TD></TR>
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<DIV style="COLOR: #777777">BYU WR Austin Collie & Utah RB Darrell Mack</TD>
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By Staff
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Posted Nov 20, 2008</TD>
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It's the biggest game in the history of the tremendous rivalry. Utah can go off to the BCS with a win over BYU, while the Cougars hope to win a share of the MWC title. Will it be the thunder of Utah and Darrell Mack or the lightning of Austin Collie and the BYU passing game? Check out the Previews and Predictions for the Week 13 MWC Games</TD></TR>
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Mountain West
Air Force |
BYU |
Colorado State |
New Mexico
San Diego State |
TCU |
UNLV |
Utah |
Wyoming
MWest Fearless Predictions Aug. 30|
Sept. 6 |
Sept. 13 |
Sept. 20
-
Sept. 27 |
Oct. 4 |
Oct. 11 |
Oct. 18 |
Oct. 25 |
Nov. 1 |
Nov. 8 |
Nov. 15
How are the picks so far? SU: 50-16 ... ATS: 29-28-1
Mountain West Game of the Week
BYU (10-1) at Utah (11-0), 6:00 EST The Mtn.
Why to watch: It's always big when these two play in the most underappreciated rivalry in college football, but this is the biggest battle ever between the two. In 2004, when an unbeaten Utah needed the win to go off to the BCS, BYU stunk. In BYU's 1984 national title season, Utah was mediocre (as was everyone else on the Cougar schedule, but that's for another day). This year, Utah can secure its second BCS game in five years, and can at least argue that it should be in the national title discussion, with a win, while BYU, if it can pull off the upset, would likely leapfrog Boise State and be the top ranked non-BCS conference team ranked in the top 12. If Utah wins, the Mountain West title is cut and dry. If BYU wins, and if TCU beats Air Force, then there will be a three-way tie for the championship.
If nothing else, the hope is for this game to be half as good as the last two. Two years ago, BYU beat the Utes 33-31 on a last-play-of-the-game scrambling touchdown pass from John Beck to Jonny Harline. Last season, BYU, down 10-9, needed a 49-yard catch by Austin Collie on fourth-and-18, a few pass interference calls, a personal foul, and an 11-yard touchdown run from Harvey Unga with 38 seconds to play to break Utah's heart for a second straight season. Those two were bad, but a BYU win this season would be even worse for the Utes, who are coming off a nearly perfect 63-14 blasting of San Diego State. BYU beat Air Force 38-24 to run its current winning streak up to four, but it needs a big win to get its reputation back after getting pantsed by TCU in a 32-7 nationally televised shellacking.
Why BYU might win: The top-shelf passing game Utah has faced this year was ... uh, um. Colorado State? Most of the teams in the Mountain West who have decent passing yards got them by bombing away in comeback mode, or to try to keep up the pace with the better teams. Utah hasn't seen anything like the passing game that BYU is about to throw at it. The Utes have a decent pass rush, but not a good enough one to get to Max Hall to screw up the timing of the Cougar attack on a consistent basis.
Why Utah might win: The BYU run defense is hardly anything special. The Cougars couldn't handle the precision of the Air Force ground game, giving up 323 yards and three touchdowns, it gave up 240 in the loss to TCU, and it got pounded on by Colorado State's Gartrell Johnson for 102 yards. Utah has a balanced attack that does a little of everything right, but when things are really working, it gets big days from its big backs, Matt Asiata and Darrell Mack. Throw in Ray Stowers into the mix, along with the running of Brian Johnson, and Utah should crank out 200 yards on the ground.
Who to watch: Brian Johnson has had a tough career as the Utah quarterback. Considered to be the superstar for the spread under Urban Meyer, Johnson took over, even though Meyer took off, and showed tremendous promise early on before suffering a major knee injury. While he hasn't been the same since, he has been a winner who has seen time in 42 games. This year he's been good for roughly an interception per game, but he's also getting rid of the ball quicker and doing a great job of keeping the chains moving. Meanwhile, on the other side, QB Max Hall might be the star of the BYU show, but Austin Collie is putting together the All-America season. The nation's leading receiver with 85 catches for 1,315 yards and 15 touchdowns, he has gone over the 100-yard mark in nine straight games and has scored seven touchdowns in his last three.
What will happen: How can this be anything other than a classic? 11 of the last 12 meetings between the two have been decided by a touchdown or less. The Utah running game will control the game and the clock, but BYU will have the ball in its hands for one final drive. Unlike the last two years, this time, the Ute D will come through.
CFN Prediction: Utah 24 ... BYU 20 ...
Line: Utah -6
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